โ๏ธ Wed 21 Oct ยท โช MIXED for gold
Gold about $4,115
Down about $30 since the last brief
๐ฐ What happened
โข ๐ด Oil hit a 5-month high on reported attacks on Saudi energy sites and tankers
โข ๐ข Reports of a US-Iran peace plan cut oil. Gold briefly rose near $4,154
โข ๐ด 15:33 UK / 10:33 New York: Netanyahu said he and Trump discussed ending Iran's regime ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ
โข ๐ด About 16:10 UK / 11:10 New York: a diplomat said no deal is close. Oil bounced
US data
๐ข US home-building fell 5.2% in September.
The forecast was a 1.9% rise.
Overnight
๐ด Oil is back near $110. Gold dipped near $4,105.
Why it matters
Dearer oil keeps prices rising for longer.
That keeps US rates high, and gold pays no interest.
Markets still see a Fed rate rise by December as likely.
๐
Next 24 hours
07:00 UK / 02:00 New York: UK inflation (how fast UK prices rise) ๐ฅ๐ฅ MEDIUM
Expected 3.4% (prev 3.1%)
๐ข if hotter | ๐ด if cooler (via the dollar, a small effect)
๐ Also watch
โข Fed officials stay quiet until the Fed's rate decision on Wed 28 Oct
โข UK clocks go back Sun 25 Oct, US clocks on Sun 1 Nov
โข Iran talks and Strait of Hormuz shipping news, through oil
๐ Gold lesson
Weak US data usually helps gold.
On Tue 20 Oct, dearer oil and Fed rate-rise bets were bigger, so gold still fell.
When two forces pull different ways, the bigger one usually wins.
Education only. Gold doesn't always react the same way. Not financial advice.