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Why did gold fall on Tuesday 20 October 2026?

Gold closed at about $4,132, down $10 (0.24%) on the day.

What moved it

โšก ๐ŸŸข BULLISH for gold ยท ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ MEDIUM (05:48 UK)BULLISH for gold

The verdicts are the textbook reading of the news, not a forecast. Closing prices are spot gold at about 5pm New York time, from our price feed, and may differ slightly from other sources.

The posts, as they landed

โšก ๐ŸŸข BULLISH for gold ยท ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ MEDIUM

US dollar falls below 102.00 as traders rethink how much the Fed will raise rates

Why: Dollar weaker and traders expect fewer Fed rate hikes, both support gold prices right now.
Gold $4,146.40
๐Ÿ•’ Tue 20 Oct ยท news 05:48 UK

Education only. Gold doesn't always react the same way. Not financial advice.

โ˜€๏ธ Tue 20 Oct ยท โšช MIXED for gold

Gold about $4,144 (down about $25 since Mon 11:45 UK / 06:45 New York)

๐Ÿ“ฐ What happened
๐Ÿ”ด Since Monday morning gold slid from about $4,170 to a low near $4,115 in Asian trade, then bounced. Behind it: more bets on a US rate rise.
๐Ÿ”ด Markets now see about a 94% chance the Fed raises rates in December (about 89% on Monday). Gold pays no interest, so higher rates hurt it.
๐ŸŸข Early on Monday oil dipped after the US waived some Russia sanctions and tariffs. Less oil fear means less inflation pressure: a smaller plus.
๐Ÿ”ด Then oil (Brent) climbed back to about $110 after Houthi rebels (an Iran-backed group in Yemen) said they attacked Saudi energy sites. Oil fear feeds inflation, which keeps US rates high.
๐ŸŸข Gold funds (ETFs, funds that hold real gold) are holding near their 2026 high. Firm fund demand supports gold.

๐Ÿ“… Next 24 hours (UK / New York time)
07:00 / 02:00 UK jobs report (unemployment and pay) ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ MEDIUM
Expected jobless rate 4.9% to 5.0% (prev 4.9%). Pay growth 3.8% (prev 3.9%)
๐ŸŸข if stronger | ๐Ÿ”ด if weaker (via the dollar)

No Fed speeches: Fed officials stay quiet before their 27-28 Oct meeting.
Fed decision: Wed 28 Oct, 18:00 UK / 14:00 New York.

๐Ÿ“– Gold lesson
Price and fund buying don't always move together. Gold is far below its January record, yet gold funds hold about 2% more than at the start of 2026. Fund holdings often lag turning points in the price.

Education only. Gold doesn't always react the same way. Not financial advice.

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