00:22 UK ยท News landed
โก ๐ด BEARISH for gold ยท ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ HIGH
Trump says US forces have been deployed in areas surrounding Iran
Why: Military deployment around Iran raises the threat to oil supplies from the Gulf. That can push oil prices and inflation up, keeping US rates high, which is bad for gold.
Gold $3,876.40 (Friday's close)
Markets closed, reopen Sun 23:00 UK
๐ Sat 31 Oct ยท news 00:21 UK
05:09 UK ยท News landed
โก ๐ด BEARISH for gold ยท ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ HIGH
Oil tanker struck by unknown projectile in Strait of Hormuz, UK maritime office confirms
Why: An attack in the Strait of Hormuz can push oil prices up. That keeps US interest rates high, which is bad for gold.
Gold $3,876.40 (Friday's close)
Markets closed, reopen Sun 23:00 UK
๐ Sat 31 Oct ยท news 05:08 UK
09:18 UK ยท Deep dive
๐ง ๐ด BEARISH for gold ยท Stocks crashed on Fri 30 Oct. Gold fell too.
Isn't gold meant to be the safe place? Here's what happened.
๐ What fell on Fri 30 Oct
โข Intel: down 28.6%, its worst day since 1974
โข Reddit: down about 29%
โข Chip makers as a group: down 7.2%
โข Nvidia: down 4.2%
โข Nasdaq: down 2.9%, its worst day since June
โข S&P 500: down 1.8%
โข Bitcoin: down more than 4%
โข Silver: down about 6%
โข Gold: down 3.6%, to about $3,876, its lowest in a year
Why stocks fell
Big tech firms are spending huge sums on AI.
Weak results from Intel, Amazon and Reddit made investors worry that spending won't pay off soon.
Why gold fell with them
When shares crash, some investors must raise cash fast to cover their losses.
They sell what is easy to sell, and gold is one of the easiest.
So gold can fall in the first rush, even on a scary day.
Oil made it worse. Tanker attacks near the Strait of Hormuz pushed Brent oil to about $118.
Dearer oil keeps inflation up, which gives the Fed more reason to raise rates. That is bad for gold, because gold pays no interest.
The US economy also grew 3.4% from July to September, faster than the 3.2% expected. Another reason for the Fed to raise rates.
๐ The lesson
Gold is a safe place over months, not always in the first hours of a crash.
In a rush for cash, people sell almost everything.
Coming up
Tue 3 Nov: US midterm elections
Thu 5 Nov: Bank of England decision
Fri 6 Nov, 13:30 UK / 8:30am New York: US jobs report
10:01 UK ยท Week in review
๐ Week of Mon 26 Oct ยท gold down about $120
๐ช Gold this week
Tankers hit mines near the Strait of Hormuz. Gold still fell.
About $4,000 at the start of the week.
About $3,875 on Fri 30 Oct, its lowest in over a year.
The high was about $4,070, on Wed 28 Oct.
๐ฐ The big moves
โข ๐ด Bearish: oil hit about $118 on Fri 30 Oct, its highest since April. Dearer oil keeps US rates high
โข โช Neutral: the Fed kept rates the same, as expected. Two voters wanted a rise
โข ๐ด Bearish: US growth beat forecasts. That gives the Fed more reason to raise rates
โข ๐ข Bullish: on Tue 27 Oct oil fell on Iran talks. Gold rose about 1%
๐งญ How gold reacted
๐ฅ = how big the news was
โข Tue US shopper mood (consumer confidence): 91.7 vs 81 ๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐ด bearish โ gold rose, textbook did not hold
โข Wed Fed rate meeting ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ โช neutral โ gold swung about $30, then closed higher
โข Thu US growth (GDP): 3.4% vs 3.2% ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐ด bearish โ gold barely moved
โข Thu Fed's favourite inflation measure (core PCE): 3.1%, as expected ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ โช neutral โ barely moved
โข Fri Japan's central bank kept rates the same ๐ฅ๐ฅ โช neutral โ gold dipped about $10, then recovered
๐ก Lesson of the week
Fear usually helps gold. Not when it comes through oil.
Dearer oil can push prices up. That gives the Fed more reason to raise rates, which is bad for gold.
On Fri 30 Oct US tech shares slid too. Some investors sold gold to raise cash.
10:32 UK ยท News landed
โก ๐ด BEARISH for gold ยท ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ HIGH
Iran's Supreme Leader orders immediate response to any enemy threat without geographic limits
Why: Iran threatening open-ended strikes can push oil prices up. That keeps US interest rates high, which is bad for gold.
Gold $3,876.40 (Friday's close)
Markets closed, reopen Sun 23:00 UK
๐ Sat 31 Oct ยท news 10:31 UK
10:39 UK ยท News landed
โก ๐ด BEARISH for gold ยท ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ HIGH
Iran's supreme leader orders military to update target list to include all US and Israeli assets in range
Why: Iran threatening strikes on regional assets raises oil supply risk. That keeps US interest rates high, which is bad for gold.
Gold $3,876.40 (Friday's close)
Markets closed, reopen Sun 23:00 UK
๐ Sat 31 Oct ยท news 10:38 UK
10:39 UK ยท Update
๐ก DEVELOPING ยท ๐ด BEARISH for gold
Iran military threat: 3 headlines in 90 min
๐ Sat 31 Oct, 10:39 UK
โข Iran's Khamenei says combat readiness is necessary for maximum deterrence
โข Iran's Supreme Leader orders immediate response to any enemy threat with no geographic limits
โข Iran's leader directs armed forces to add all US and Israeli assets in range to target list
๐ก What it means: Iran's leader has ordered the military to prepare strikes on US and Israeli targets anywhere, raising the threat of attacks on Gulf oil supply. That can keep US interest rates high, which is bad for gold.
๐ด 3 of 3 headlines ยท Gold $3,876.40 (Friday's close)
Markets closed, reopen Sun 23:00 UK